Monday, April 21, 2025

World Championship 2025 - Day 4

Shaun Murphy V Daniel Wells - 22/04/25 10.00 & 23/04/25 10.00

Masters Champion Shaun Murphy comes into today's opening match with high expectations of making a deep run in this year's championship. He also has a very positive record against his first-round opponent Daniel Wells (7-2).

The Welshman impressively defeated world number 17 Gary Wilson on Judgement Day to secure his place at the Crucible for the first time. He will significantly have to improve to compete with world number 15 Murphy however.

He's had a relatively quiet year on tour with a run to the final four of the Xi'an Grand Prix his only highlight. He is currently 49th in the world, his highest ever ranking since turning professional in 2008 so is obviously on an upward trajectory.

He will have his work cut out to defeat the 2005 World Champion. He was in unstoppable form as he steamrolled the field to claim his 2nd Masters title in January.

In recent years, he has struggled to make a deep run in Sheffield, not making it past the last 16 since 2021. This will give Wells confidence ahead of their first-round battle.

Using his years of Crucible experience coupled with his positive H2H record with Wells should be enough for Murphy to progress to the last 16.

Prediction: Murphy 10-3

Zhang Anda V Pang Junxu - 22/04/25 10.00 & 23/04/25 10.00

A Chinese derby between two of the strongest overseas players in the game at the moment. Despite only winning 1 ranking event title so far, Zhang Anda has cemented himself as a well-established top 16 player on the World Snooker Tour.

Worryingly for Anda, he has appeared at the Crucible 4 times but has yet to claim a victory, a stat he will be keen to change as soon as possible and a battle with fellow Chinese player Junxu gives him a big opportunity to do that.

Similarly for Junxu, he hasn't had much success at the 'Home of Snooker' either. This will be his 3rd appearance and he will also aim for his first victory in Sheffield.

The players met at the Welsh Open this season with Junxu coming out on top 4-2. The 25-year-old has yet to claim a ranking event trophy but it seems is edging closer to that maiden title after reaching the WST Classic final in 2023 only to be defeated by Mark Selby.

The players have a similar style around the table, slow, pragmatic play can be expected throughout. It's very hard to call a winner with very little to separate the pair on current form. I expect a close contest with Junxu marginally coming out on top.

Prediction: 10-9 Junxu

Ronnie O'Sullivan V Ali Carter - 22/04/25 14.30 & 23/04/25 14.30

The anticipation of Ronnie O'Sullivan's return could not be higher after being absent on tour for the past 4 months. It means he has fallen down the rankings to World Number 5 having not played competitively since early January.

He has been drawn against long-term rival Ali Carter and a match-up with the Captain is sure to get the 7x world champion's competitive juices flowing. It's no secret that the pair don't see eye to eye.

The H2H is firmly in O'Sullivan's favour and you would have to go back to 2018 to come across Carter's last victory against Ronnie when he came out on top 13-9 in the last 16 at the World Championship.

Carter was typically solid in his 10-5 Judgement Day defeat of He Guoqiang, which sets him up nicely for today's battle. He will be coming in match sharp which cannot be said for his opponent.

By his standards, it's been a quiet season so far after winning the Championship League last summer he has had little to celebrate with 2 runs to the last four of the Welsh Open & World Open the highlight.

It's hard to predict what form Ronnie will produce but I wouldn't be surprised to see him quickly click back into gear and have too much for Carter.

Prediction: 10-5 O'Sullivan

Judd Trump V Zhou Yuelong - 22/04/25 19.00 & 23/04/25 19.00

The world number one begins his bid to claim a 2nd World title this evening in what looks to be a favourable draw for the 35-year-old. He takes on Chinese player & world number 32 Zhou Yuelong.

The H2H record between the pair is largely in favour of Trump but they have not met since the Turkish Masters in 2022.

It's been an encouraging season for Trump along with cementing his place at the top of the world rankings, he has also picked up 3 ranking event titles (Shanghai Masters, Saudi Arabia Masters, UK Championship) with a few near misses thrown in including defeats in the Xi'ian Grand Prix, Northern Ireland Open & Players Championship finals.

In his first Crucible appearance since 2019, Yuelong could hardly of gotten a tougher draw. Not only is his H2H form with his opponent extremely discouraging, he has had a very poor year by his standards.

Although he impressively defeated fellow Chinese player Yuan Sijun 10-5 on Judgement Day making 2 centuries (118, 117) in the process. But he is presented with a totally different task here, he will need his best ever performance to reach the last 16.

With Kyren Wilson, Neil Robertson & Barry Hawkins already exiting this years Championship, Trump will no-doubt fancy his chances of picking up his 2nd world title on May 5th.

I expect Trump to lay down a marker in the early frames of tonight's match before finishing off the job tomorrow evening.

Prediction: 10-4 Trump

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