World Snooker Championship 2024
Luca Brecel 9-10 David Gilbert
The 2024 World Championship kicks off as always with last year's winner first up. Luca Brecel will take to the baize as first-time Crucible winner. The laid-back nature of the Belgian will embrace the occasion and hopefully the pressure of that tag won't weigh heavy on his shoulders. He faces 2018/19 semi-finalist David Gilbert and he will not be put off by the occasion. Having impressively come through qualifying with a 10-6 defeat of Xiao Guodong on Judgement Day. Gilbert arrives in good form and will aim to cause an upset on Day 1. The pair have not met competitively since 2015 but there's no better way to renew the old rivalry than in Sheffield. A close match is predicted with the momentum gained from coming through the qualifiers just edging it for Gilbert.
Zhang Anda 10-6 Jak Jones
An intriguing
match-up. Both players like to play a pragmatic style which could lead to a
cagey tie at times. Two of the form players of the last couple of seasons,
Jones was outstanding at times last year while the same can be said for Anda
this season. Both will relish playing the multi-session, longer format matches
but it’s hard to look past Anda on this seasons current form. Although Jones had
the Chinese players number when they met in the Welsh Open in February, that
result could easily be reversed.
Ali
Carter 10-5 Stephen Maguire
This promises to be a fiery encounter with neither
player short of passion when it comes to the crunch. Twice a runner-up of this
event, Carter would’ve hoped for an easier start to his campaign than he will
get against Maguire. Although he has shown signs of renewed form this term
after a couple of quiet seasons, his run to the Masters final was an example of
how he is more than capable of competing with the best. When on form, Stephen
Maguire has the game to reel off frames in a blink of an eye and is great to
watch in full flow. That said, his consistency over the last few seasons hasn’t
been up to scratch and predicting how he performs on any given day is not the
easiest. The consistency and form Carter has shown this season may be too much
for the Scotsman to cope with. If the standard of their Crucible semi-final in
2012 is anything to go by, we are in for a cracking match. (Carter won 17-12).
Judd
Trump 10-7 Hossein Vafaei
This has the potential to be one of the ties of the
round. A repeat of round 1 in 2022, Vafaei will be keen to erase the memory of
that day (Trump 10-4). It has since been a tie when the pair have met (1-1) so
the Iranian knows he can compete with Trump. Vafaei had a run to the semi-final
of both the UK Championship & British Open this season and it feels as if
it’s only a matter of time before he makes the deserved big breakthough. 5 titles
and counting, the form of Trump this season has rightfully marked him as one of
the players to beat and comes in with an expectation of going deep in this
tournament as he looks for his 2nd world crown. I expect Trump to
have too much but Vafaei is more than capable of capitalizing if he’s not on
the top of his game.
Tom
Ford 10-6 Ricky Walden
Having lost out to eventual champion Luca Brecel in a
decider last year, Ricky Walden will have high hopes of progressing against an
opponent in Tom Ford that has yet to win at the Crucible after 4 attempts. Over
the years, Walden has been a consistent performer on tour without reaching the
elite level of the sport but will no doubt be a tricky opponent for an out-of-form
Ford. If Ford manages to find the form that got him to last year's German Masters
final he should realistically win this match. Considering he is the world number
14, but Walden has years of experience and will be no pushover. Ford will be
made to work to get his first win at the Crucible but I think he’ll have enough
to get over the line.
Mark
Selby 10-6 Joe O’Connor
A Leicester derby and O’Connor couldn’t have gotten a
much tougher draw for his Crucible debut. He has yet to defeat Selby in a
competitive match and over the longer format he faces an uphill task today. An
impressive, hard-fought victory against Matt Selt on Judgement Day proveso may he is
coming into this one match sharp and battle hardened compared to Selby who hasn’t played
since his Tour Championship defeat to Gary Wilson at the start of the month. If
pondering how big the challenge facing O’Connor is, it’s important to note Selby
has only lost one first-round match in the last decade at the Crucible. If
finding the form that has seen him win 4 world titles, he surely won’t be far
away from number 5 this year? I feel the margin of victory for Selby will
depend on how O’Connor copes with the intensity of the Crucible.
Shaun
Murphy 10-4 Lyu Haotian
Former World Champion Shaun Murphy comes into this
years event under the radar after having a relatively quiet season results-wise
on tour. In a favourable section of the draw, the four-time finalist will see
this as an opportunity of making the quarter-final at the very least. He faces
a tricky opponent in round 1 though and will be wary following his early exit to
Si Jiahui 12 months ago. Haotian has always been considered a player with lots
of potential and showed why when defeating Ronnie O'Sullivan in the
Wuhan Open in October. Impressive performances during qualifying mean Haotian
comes here backed up with both momentum and confidence. His 10-7 victory
against in-form Jenson Kendrick on Judgement Day was a real standout victory
and if replicating that form, he can cause Murphy problems. I think Shaun
Murphy will get off to a winning start and have too much for Haotian though.
Gary
Wilson 9-10 Stuart Bingham
An intriguing clash that is very hard to call, judging
by the rankings, Wilson should have enough to defeat the 2015 World Champion
but it’ll be far from straightforward. Wilson has had a good season, retaining
the Scottish Open while also winning the Welsh Open, it feels as if he is
finally producing the form that his potential over the years has promised. Despite
having a poor record against Bingham (6-1 Bingham) all defeats have come in the
Championship League, today’s clash however is on the biggest stage. There has
been talk about Bingham switching his focus towards the pool scene, although
his form last week in defeating Louis Heathcote and Stuart Carrington confirmed
that he is still playing to a very high level. One of the most enjoyable players to
watch when on form, Bingham’s high-scoring can overpower Wilson. I can see this
being a close match throughout but the momentum gained from coming through the
qualifiers can just edge it for Bingham.
Mark
Williams 10-5 Si Jiahui
One of the stories of last years Championship, Si
Jiahui’s run to the semi-final was unforgettable and he will need to reproduce
that form again if he’s going to get through his first-round match with 3-time
World Champion Mark Williams. Jiahui has struggled for consistency this season with
his run to the final of the German Masters the highlight but produced two solid
performances to defeat Ben Mertens and Wu Yize to get to this stage. If
Williams is in anything like the form he produced to win the Tour Championship
at the beginning of the month, Jiahui faces an uphill task of defeating the
Welshman. Defeating Judd Trump, Mark Allen and Ronnie O'Sullivan on the way to
adding another big title to his already-impressive CV, he comes here at the top
of his game. I reckon Williams record of coming out on top in the first round at
the Crucible since 2015 will continue.
Robert
Milkins 10-7 Pang Junxu
A tough one to call, the inconsistency in form of both
players leaves many questions to be answered going into this one. Following
Milkins brilliant 2022/23 campaign, he has failed to deliver this season and
his quarter-final run in Shanghai has been a rare high point in a mostly disappointing
year. The Milkman has been the first to admit that he hasn't worked as hard as
he might on the practice table this season, but that has apparently changed in
preparation for Sheffield. Impressively, Junxu managed to take 7 frames off
Ronnie on his Crucible debut last year and that experience will stand to him
this year. It hasn’t been a great season results-wise on tour but he did show
signs of improvement in defeating Cao Yupeng and Oliver Brown in qualifying
last week. I don’t expect a landslide victory for either player but Milkins
experience may just come through in the end.
Kyren
Wilson 10-3 Dominic Dale
All but one Crucible appearance has resulted in a first-round
win for Kyren Wilson and I expect this year to be no different. The last 5 meetings
between the pair have gone the way of Wilson, although, without a final appearance
this season, it hasn’t lived up to Kyrens expectations and this will no doubt
give Dale confidence heading into the match. A fans favourite, Dale will be making
his first appearance in Sheffield in 10 years. Wins against Guoqiang and Grace
last week were an example of how at 52 he is more than capable of competing on
tour. The Welshman has played solidly all year without making the latter stages
of events but will hope to extend his fairytale run to the Crucible as long as
possible. I fully expect Wilson to have too much and overpower Dale through his
high-scoring and quality safety play to progress to the next round.
Ding
Junhui 10-4 Jack Lisowski
An eye-catching tie as soon as the draw was made. In
full flow, two of the most enjoyable players in the world to watch. Up until
now, Lisowski has yet to beat Ding in a competitive match which will do nothing
to boost the Englishman’s confidence going into this one. It’s been a quiet
season for Lisowski as he still waits to get his hands on his first ranking
title, having reached a number of finals, that maiden win still eludes him. Ding’s
had a very good season, getting to the final of both the UK Championship and
World Open is a sign his game is in very good shape at the moment. Despite a few
quiet seasons on tour, he seems to have refound form over the last couple of
years and comes into this championship as a dark horse with serious prospects
of going deep in this years Championship. I’m a big admirer of Lisowski and how
he plays but I think Dings form and experience will be too much for him.
Mark
Allen 10-3 Robbie Williams
A first Crucible appearance since 2016 for Robbie
Williams and he could hardly be faced with a tougher draw. He is yet to win a
match at the World Championship and judging by his record against Mark Allen
(4-1 Allen), it’s unlikely he will get his first victory this year. Although
his deciding frame victory over Chris Wakelin on judgement day was impressive,
he faces a tough task against the Northern Irishman who will be aiming to
better his semi-final finish last year. Last season’s player of the season
Allen has followed up his successful year by claiming three ranking titles this
season (Champion of Champions, Players Championship, Shootout). He now sits at
number 3 in the world and has transformed his game to be a serial winner on
tour. I expect him to come through his first-round match comfortably and a deep
run to finish the season is expected.
Barry
Hawkins 10-5 Ryan Day
A surprising head-to-head statistic between the pair
having played 38 times the score is currently 19-19. Ryan Day comes into this event
after having a poor season on tour but with that record against his opponent,
he will be confident of putting up a good fight. Day’s record at the
Crucible since 2015 is one he will want to correct as soon as possible, he’s played
5 matches with 5 defeats. His quarter-final run at the German Masters in
February will instil the belief that he can produce similar form here. Winning
the European Masters at the beginning of the season was a highlight in another
solid season for Barry Hawkins. Despite early exits in both Triple Crown events
this season, Hawkins is always dangerous when it comes to the business end of
the season, especially here and will see this match as an opportunity to get his first win in
Sheffield in 3 years. His experience over the longer format should be enough to
take him over the line here.
Ronnie
O’Sullivan 10-4 Jackson Page
The 7 time World Champion begins his title charge
against Jackson Page as he aims to make history and claim his 8th
World title. The pair's last meeting was in the 2023 English Open where Ronnie
ran out a comfortable winner. The world number 1 has had an outstanding season
so far, claiming 5 titles (UK Championship, Masters, World Grand Prix, Shanghai
Masters, World Masters) and will have his sights set on making history becoming
the most decorated player in snooker history if claiming this years title. He
may not have it all his own way in this one though as his Welsh opponent had 2
impressive performances to defeat both Noppon Saenghkam and Graeme Dott in
qualifying to get here. He has made the semi-final of the World Open this
season so has proven he can compete with the best. The Welshman is a rapid,
heavy scorer when in full flow and if getting a foothold in the match early on,
he could put it up to Ronnie. His style of play will suit O'Sullivan and it’s hard to look past a win for the rocket.
John
Higgins 10-5 Jamie Jones
The final match to get underway in the first round at
this year's World Championship. With 6 qualifiers already progressing to the
next round, Jamie Jones will fancy his chances of adding his name to that list.
The head-to-head is level (2-2) between the pair and their most recent meeting
was in the last 32 in the 2022 Scottish Open where Jones came out on top. The
Welshman has had a very quiet season on tour, struggling to get results and his
impressive judgement day victory over Neil Robertson came as a surprise
although the longer format matches definitely suit his style of play. Four-time
World Champion John Higgins comes here with a brilliant record at the Crucible.
His run to the semi-final and quarter-final in the last 2 years underline the
pedigree he comes here with. Despite not getting his hands on any silverware
this season, he has been an ever-present in the latter stages of events getting
to 5 ranking event semi-finals and that consistency can set him up for a deep
run in this years Championship. I expect the Scotsman to progress from this tie
but I’ve no doubt Jones will make him work for it.